Cagla Buyukakcay vs Deniz Dilek
24 Sept, 14:00 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 11h 2m
Why this is close
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 48%, calibrated to 49% for Cagla Buyukakcay. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
24.1
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
50%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- No ATP ranking found for Cagla Buyukakcay, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
- Deniz Dilek is unrated on hard: fewer than 5 matches in our history, so his rating here falls back to his overall level. This also blocks any market comparison for this match.
- No ATP ranking found for Deniz Dilek, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1493 vs 1528.