Toby Samuel vs Leo Borg
9 Nov, 18:30 · Round 1 · best of 3 · in 22h 59m
Why 84% for Toby Samuel
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 86%, calibrated to 84% for Toby Samuel. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
22.8
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
63%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Toby Samuel has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- Leo Borg has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- Leo Borg's ATP ranking could not be confirmed against this week's list, so it is used with less confidence.
- No recent-match record for Leo Borg, so no rest or workload adjustment was applied on his side.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1816 vs 1485.