Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Kostovic
24 Sept, 09:00 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 6h 3m
Why this is close
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 46%, calibrated to 46% for Elena Ruxandra Bertea. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
24.0
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
50%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Elena Ruxandra Bertea is unrated on hard: fewer than 5 matches in our history, so his rating here falls back to his overall level. This also blocks any market comparison for this match.
- No ATP ranking found for Elena Ruxandra Bertea, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
- Teodora Kostovic has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- Teodora Kostovic's ATP ranking could not be confirmed against this week's list, so it is used with less confidence.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1474 vs 1507.