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clayoutdoor· Delta Motors Tolentino Open

Julia Grabher vs Alice Tubello

24 Sept, 10:30 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 7h 32m

FRAAlice TubelloRunranked
34%

Why 66% for Julia Grabher

Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.

Surface Elo (clay)96.4% · +16.2% toward Julia Grabher
Rest and workload3.6% · +0.6% toward Julia Grabher

Raw model probability 67%, calibrated to 66% for Julia Grabher. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.

Projected total games

23.5

leans over for a best of 3

Straight sets

52%

chance the match ends without a deciding set

Market comparison

No odds available for this event.

Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.

What is missing here

  • Alice Tubello has a provisional clay rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
  • No ATP ranking found for Alice Tubello, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
Julia GrabherAlice Tubello
1633clay Elo1525
1612Overall Elo1499
+21clay vs overall+26
24–23clay record4–5
ratedrating basisprovisional

The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1628 vs 1509.