Julia Grabher vs Alice Tubello
24 Sept, 10:30 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 7h 32m
Why 66% for Julia Grabher
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 67%, calibrated to 66% for Julia Grabher. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
23.5
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
52%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Alice Tubello has a provisional clay rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- No ATP ranking found for Alice Tubello, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1628 vs 1509.