Mia Pohankova vs Veronika Podrez
24 Sept, 10:00 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 7h 5m
Why 62% for Mia Pohankova
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 63%, calibrated to 62% for Mia Pohankova. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
23.7
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
51%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Mia Pohankova has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- No ATP ranking found for Mia Pohankova, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
- Veronika Podrez is unrated on hard: fewer than 5 matches in our history, so his rating here falls back to his overall level. This also blocks any market comparison for this match.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1675 vs 1569.