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hardoutdoor· Eupago Porto Open

Harmony Tan vs Angelina Voloshchuk

24 Sept, 12:00 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 9h 3m

FRAHarmony TanRunranked
37%

Why 63% for Angelina Voloshchuk

Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.

Surface Elo (hard)92.4% · +14.6% toward Angelina Voloshchuk
Rest and workload7.6% · -1.2% toward Harmony Tan

Raw model probability 37%, calibrated to 37% for Harmony Tan. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.

Projected total games

23.7

leans over for a best of 3

Straight sets

51%

chance the match ends without a deciding set

Market comparison

No odds available for this event.

Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.

What is missing here

  • No ATP ranking found for Harmony Tan, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
  • Angelina Voloshchuk has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
  • No ATP ranking found for Angelina Voloshchuk, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
Harmony TanAngelina Voloshchuk
1462hard Elo1651
1556Overall Elo1618
-94hard vs overall+34
6–17hard record5–1
ratedrating basisprovisional

The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1499 vs 1627.