Aleksandr Shevchenko vs Jacob Fearnley
8 Nov, 12:30 · Qualifying Final · best of 3 · in progress
Why 64% for Jacob Fearnley
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 35%, calibrated to 36% for Aleksandr Shevchenko. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
23.6
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
52%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Aleksandr Shevchenko has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- Jacob Fearnley has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1532 vs 1700.