Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk
10 Nov · Time TBC · Group Stage · best of 3
Why 68% for Jessica Pegula
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 69%, calibrated to 68% for Jessica Pegula. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
23.5
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
53%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
Both players are rated on this surface with a current ATP ranking and recent-match data. Nothing is missing for this match.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 2005 vs 1822.