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clayoutdoor· Delta Motors Tolentino Open

Rebeka Masarova vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales

25 Sept · Time TBC · Quarterfinal · best of 3

Why this is close

Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.

Surface Elo (clay)15.6% · -0.1% toward Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Rest and workload84.4% · +0.6% toward Rebeka Masarova

Raw model probability 50%, calibrated to 51% for Rebeka Masarova. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.

Projected total games

24.2

leans over for a best of 3

Straight sets

50%

chance the match ends without a deciding set

Market comparison

No odds available for this event.

Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.

What is missing here

  • No ATP ranking found for Rebeka Masarova, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
  • Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales has a provisional clay rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
  • No ATP ranking found for Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
Rebeka MasarovaGuiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
1644clay Elo1658
1625Overall Elo1623
+20clay vs overall+36
14–14clay record9–5
ratedrating basisprovisional

The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1638 vs 1640.