Borna Gojo vs Tomas Machac
9 Nov, 13:00 · Round 1 · best of 3 · in 17h 29m
Why 57% for Tomas Machac
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 42%, calibrated to 43% for Borna Gojo. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
23.9
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
50%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Borna Gojo is unrated on hard: fewer than 5 matches in our history, so his rating here falls back to his overall level. This also blocks any market comparison for this match.
- Tomas Machac has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1795 vs 1796.