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hardoutdoor· USA· BNP Paribas Open

Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyuk

10 Nov · Time TBC · Group Stage · best of 3

Why 69% for Coco Gauff

Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.

Surface Elo (hard)68.7% · +13.3% toward Coco Gauff
ATP ranking31.3% · +6.0% toward Coco Gauff
Rest and workload0.0% · +0.0% toward Coco Gauff

Raw model probability 69%, calibrated to 69% for Coco Gauff. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.

Projected total games

23.5

leans over for a best of 3

Straight sets

53%

chance the match ends without a deciding set

Market comparison

No odds available for this event.

Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.

What is missing here

  • No recent-match record for Coco Gauff, so no rest or workload adjustment was applied on his side.
Coco GauffMarta Kostyuk
2021hard Elo1812
2046Overall Elo1945
-25hard vs overall-133
189–76hard record108–79
ratedrating basisrated

The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 2022 vs 1822.