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hardindoor· Sweden· BNP Paribas Nordic Open

Borna Gojo vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

8 Nov, 11:00 · Qualifying Final · best of 3 · in progress

Why 66% for Nikoloz Basilashvili

Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.

Surface Elo (hard)89.7% · +14.8% toward Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP ranking10.3% · +1.7% toward Nikoloz Basilashvili
Rest and workload0.0% · +0.0% toward Nikoloz Basilashvili

Raw model probability 33%, calibrated to 34% for Borna Gojo. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.

Projected total games

23.6

leans over for a best of 3

Straight sets

52%

chance the match ends without a deciding set

Market comparison

No odds available for this event.

Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.

What is missing here

  • Borna Gojo is unrated on hard: fewer than 5 matches in our history, so his rating here falls back to his overall level. This also blocks any market comparison for this match.
Borna GojoNikoloz Basilashvili
1784hard Elo1852
1798Overall Elo1870
-13hard vs overall-18
3–1hard record15–7
unratedrating basisrated

The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1724 vs 1911.