Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
25 Sept · Time TBC · Quarterfinal · best of 3
Why this is close
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 45%, calibrated to 45% for Han Shi. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
24.0
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
50%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Han Shi has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- No ATP ranking found for Han Shi, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
- Berfu Cengiz has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- No ATP ranking found for Berfu Cengiz, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1449 vs 1508.