Nuria Brancaccio vs Veronika Erjavec
24 Sept, 17:30 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 14h 33m
Why this is close
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 48%, calibrated to 48% for Nuria Brancaccio. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
24.1
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
50%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Nuria Brancaccio has a provisional clay rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- No ATP ranking found for Nuria Brancaccio, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
- Veronika Erjavec has a provisional clay rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1438 vs 1479.