Polina Iatcenko vs Ksenia Zaytseva
25 Sept · Time TBC · Quarterfinal · best of 3
Why 69% for Polina Iatcenko
Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.
Raw model probability 69%, calibrated to 69% for Polina Iatcenko. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.
Projected total games
23.5
leans over for a best of 3
Straight sets
53%
chance the match ends without a deciding set
Market comparison
No odds available for this event.
Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.
What is missing here
- Polina Iatcenko has a provisional hard rating (5–19 matches), so it is pulled part-way toward his overall rating rather than used at face value.
- Ksenia Zaytseva is unrated on hard: fewer than 5 matches in our history, so his rating here falls back to his overall level. This also blocks any market comparison for this match.
- No ATP ranking found for Ksenia Zaytseva, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1720 vs 1589.