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hardoutdoor· South Korea· Korea Open

Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Yeonwoo Ku

24 Sept, 05:00 · Round 2 · best of 3 · in 2h 2m

Why this is close

Each bar is that input's share of the explanatory signal.

Surface Elo (hard)100.0% · +1.3% toward Elena Gabriela Ruse
Rest and workload0.0% · +0.0% toward Elena Gabriela Ruse

Raw model probability 51%, calibrated to 51% for Elena Gabriela Ruse. Calibration is fitted on completed matches and pulls confident predictions back toward the centre.

Projected total games

24.1

leans over for a best of 3

Straight sets

50%

chance the match ends without a deciding set

Market comparison

No odds available for this event.

Odds coverage is per tournament, and our provider currently carries only the larger events. Without a price there is nothing to compare the model against, so we show the prediction on its own.

What is missing here

  • Yeonwoo Ku is unrated on hard: fewer than 5 matches in our history, so his rating here falls back to his overall level. This also blocks any market comparison for this match.
  • No ATP ranking found for Yeonwoo Ku, so the ranking input is dropped and the prediction rests on Elo alone.
Elena Gabriela RuseYeonwoo Ku
1604hard Elo1569
1739Overall Elo1668
-135hard vs overall-98
28–45hard record2–1
ratedrating basisunrated

The model uses an effective rating that pulls a thin surface sample back toward the overall rating: 1627 vs 1651.